2013 Grammy Betting Locks
With the NFL season officially in the books, big-time football gamblers jonesing for post-Super Bowl betting action are left with Grammy Awards to fill the void. OK, that’s a joke — the Grammys will never really excite sports junkies — but thanks to the magic of offshore Internet gambling sites, you actually can bet on Music’s Biggest Night, which takes place this Sunday (Feb. 10). We’re not going to advertise those quasi-legal online dens of sin by mentioning them by name, but trust us, you can find them if you want to.
Only the four biggest categories at the 2013 Grammy Awards are seeing action on most gambling sites (Super Bowl gamblers had more than a dozen possible bets on Beyonce’s halftime show alone), but hey, it’s some sweet action nonetheless. If you’re into the Grammys like we are, it’s a fun (and possibly profitable) way to cash in on your music knowledge while you watch. Below are our picks for 2013 Grammy Betting Locks. Now, if only we could wager on who Dave Grohl is going to make surprise guest appearances with…
Song of the Year
'We Are Young' - Fun. (feat. Janelle Monae) 5/4
'Call Me Maybe' - Carly Rae Jepsen 8/5
'Stronger' - Kelly Clarkson 4/1
'The A Team' - Ed Sheeran 7/1
'Adorn' - Miguel 10/1
The Favorite: 'We Are Young' - Fun.
Our Pick: 'We Are Young,' Fun.
The Skinny: Sometimes a song comes along and touches so many lives that you have to ... bet against it. Carly Rae Jepsen's 'Call Me Maybe' was a flat-out cultural phenomenon, but Fun.'s 'We Are Young' was a big hit, too, and it hasn't been overplayed to the extent that it's immediately cloying to the ears. We're honestly shocked that Jepsen isn't the odds-on favorite here (she's not off by much), but she definitely wins the popularity contest, and we're picking against it.
Record of the Year
'We Are Young' - Fun (feat. Janelle Monae) 3/2
'Somebody That I Used to Know' - Gotye 7/4
'Lonely Boy' - The Black Keys 9/2
'Stronger' - Kelly Clarkson 13/2
'We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together' - Taylor Swift 10/1
'Thinkin Bout You' - Frank Ocean 12/1
The Favorite: 'We Are Young' - Fun
Our Pick: 'Somebody That I Used to Know' - Gotye
The Skinny: Maybe somebody is forgetting how much this Gotye song used to get played, but we're not about to -- and we're guessing that the Academy voters won't, either. We thought Gotye would've been up for more of the big awards, but this is your only chance to wager on him. And as for the always-confusing difference between the Record of the Year and Song of the Year categories, even most Academy voters don't know what it is, so it won't make the slightest difference in voting.
Best New Artist
Frank Ocean 7/4
Hunter Hayes 5/2
The Lumineers 5/1
Alabama Shakes 15/1
The Favorite: Frank Ocean/Fun. (tie)
Our Pick: Frank Ocean
The Skinny: Since giving the Best New Artist trophy to Milli Vanilli in 1990, then taking it back, the Academy has tended to honor artists with potential staying power over upstarts with a couple of smashes to their names. Now, we're not saying Fun. won't be around in a few years, but Ocean earned considerable buzz in 2012 without a credible hit -- a feat that often makes one a critics' darling. Also, it's worth noting that single artists have defeated bands in 17 of the last 20 Best New Artist contests.
Album of the Year
'Babel' - Mumford and Sons 1/3
'El Camino' - The Black Keys 5/1
'Channel Orange' - Frank Ocean 7/1
'Some Nights' - Fun 11/1
'Blunderbuss' - Jack White 17/1
The Favorite: The Black Keys
Our Pick: The Black Keys
The Skinny: OK, forget the title of this article -- this pick is not a lock. Mumford and Sons seem to have that perfect combination of big record sales and the always-elusive "authentic" quality that Grammy voters love, and 'Babel' is reasonable as a huge favorite to win. But don't count out the Black Keys, who are already adored by the Academy (the Keys have three awards to Mumford's big fat zero) and are coming off the biggest year of their career -- one that included a high-profile arena tour that upped their name recognition greatly. This is the biggest category of the night, and we're betting that the world's nerdiest hipsters will triumph in the end.